There will be snap election in less than two months from now. May is expected to romp to victory, increasing the Tory majority – her party is up by twenty points in the polls.
Labour supporters are split. Some believe they can all unite and get behind Jeremy Corbyn who can lead them to salvation, whilst others are less optimistic, expecting a doomsday-like outcome, with their despised leader’s head set to roll as a result.
Of course, the implications of the Tories increasing their majority are not to be understated. With victory May will push through a harsher, harder, right wing Brexit. She will also continue her previous work as Home Secretary and to make us all front line immigration officers in the “hostile environment” she is creating.
There are also implications for the union; Scotland looks set for a second referendum following what will no doubt be another Tory majority and likely another resounding victory for the SNP. Further to this there will on going discussions about the potential reunification of Ireland.
The general political climate will also likewise continue to shift to the right – something that has been taking place for well over a decade and arguably since September 11th 2001. This will probably lead to a continued rise in xenophobic hate-crimes and a worsening of austerity.
Nevertheless, all these terrifying things would likely continue even if there was a shock Labour victory. After all, the vast majority of the Parliamentary Labour Party (PLP) have views which are, generally speaking, in line with most “centrist” Tories.
The obsession with parliamentary politics misleads us into thinking that we can drastically alter outcomes through voting. We can’t. Britain is drifting to the right and a Labour victory wouldn’t change that because Labour has been apart of this shift, particularly under Blair – as reflected by the PLP’s embrace of neoliberal policies and free market fundamentalism.
Regardless of the result on June the 8th, most people in the UK will still suffer greatly from austerity and their material conditions will continue to worsen as income inequality rises and living conditions worsen. Britain is heading down a very worrying path and salvation will not be found at the ballot box.
People are jaded by repeated false dawns, from Tony Blair’s resounding mandate in 1997 to Jeremy Corbyn’s two leadership victories. The conditions for change are not created via this electoral system – especially one that is becoming increasingly undemocratic. The difference between today and June 9th, where we will almost certainly see a Tory victory, is minimal.
As harsh as it sounds, Corbyn was never very likely to win in 2020, so in the end, whilst we’d have likely hoped that a viable alternative could be built up over the next three years, it was always unlikely. Corbyn’s fate was sealed a long time ago.